Michigan State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
37  Clark Ruiz SR 31:25
72  Morgan Beadlescomb SO 31:37
94  Max Benoit SR 31:45
129  Ryan Robinson JR 31:54
254  Jesse Hersha SO 32:19
341  Brayden Law FR 32:32
344  Joe Riordan FR 32:32
411  Zac Wright-Fisher FR 32:40
538  Daniel Sims JR 32:54
561  Nathan Burnand SR 32:57
National Rank #13 of 315
Great Lakes Region Rank #2 of 31
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.4%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 2.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 25.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 86.7%


Regional Champion 38.2%
Top 5 in Regional 99.7%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Clark Ruiz Morgan Beadlescomb Max Benoit Ryan Robinson Jesse Hersha Brayden Law Joe Riordan Zac Wright-Fisher Daniel Sims Nathan Burnand
MSU Spartan Invitational 09/15 633 32:03 32:03 31:26 32:34 32:39 32:50 32:35 34:52 32:27
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 319 31:05 31:14 31:11 31:46 32:11 32:58 32:19 32:19
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 392 31:08 31:33 31:40 31:36 32:29 32:24
Big Ten Championship 10/29 544 31:28 31:28 32:20 32:02 32:30 32:47 33:15 32:51 34:13
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/10 493 31:39 31:37 31:48 32:20 31:59 32:40 32:45





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.4% 14.3 405 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.2 3.0 4.4 5.7 7.0 6.7 9.1 7.5 6.0 6.5 5.9 6.0 5.3 4.9 4.0 3.1 2.5 2.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.8 65 38.2 50.6 7.7 2.6 0.7 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Clark Ruiz 99.7% 41.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.0 1.4 2.2 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.5 2.1
Morgan Beadlescomb 99.5% 66.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.6
Max Benoit 99.4% 85.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3
Ryan Robinson 99.4% 104.1 0.1
Jesse Hersha 99.4% 172.0
Brayden Law 99.4% 198.4
Joe Riordan 99.4% 198.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Clark Ruiz 2.7 25.4 17.6 10.4 7.2 6.4 5.9 4.4 3.4 2.5 1.9 2.2 2.0 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.4
Morgan Beadlescomb 5.8 5.0 10.5 11.4 9.3 8.2 6.7 6.0 5.3 5.1 3.7 3.2 2.6 3.1 3.2 2.5 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4
Max Benoit 8.4 1.4 4.3 6.5 8.1 8.7 7.1 6.1 6.1 5.2 5.5 4.0 3.9 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.6 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.9 1.4 1.9 0.7 1.1
Ryan Robinson 12.3 0.5 1.8 3.6 4.1 6.1 5.6 4.9 5.8 6.0 5.4 5.2 4.4 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.6 3.1 3.0 2.4 2.8 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.6
Jesse Hersha 26.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.6 2.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.1 3.7 3.2
Brayden Law 36.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 1.8 2.9 2.8
Joe Riordan 37.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.0 2.0 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 38.2% 100.0% 38.2 38.2 1
2 50.6% 100.0% 50.6 50.6 2
3 7.7% 100.0% 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.5 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.1 7.7 3
4 2.6% 100.0% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 2.6 4
5 0.7% 61.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 5
6 0.3% 0.3 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
Total 100% 99.4% 38.2 50.6 2.1 1.9 1.1 0.6 2.0 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 88.8 10.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Air Force 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Iona 97.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
UCLA 88.5% 1.0 0.9
Minnesota 88.2% 3.0 2.6
Washington 71.7% 1.0 0.7
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 56.1% 2.0 1.1
Washington St. 42.1% 1.0 0.4
Eastern Kentucky 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 1.0 0.4
Navy 32.9% 1.0 0.3
Penn State 26.3% 1.0 0.3
Wisconsin 26.1% 2.0 0.5
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Purdue 22.8% 2.0 0.5
San Francisco 20.6% 2.0 0.4
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 2.0 0.0
California 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Nebraska 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 13.0
Minimum 6.0
Maximum 20.0